Adaptation and mitigation management of drought, wildfire, and climate change toward the development of natural tourism in Jatirejo District, Mojokerto Regency, Indonesia

Global climate change, drought, and the threat of wildfires become major challenges in tourism development. Jatirejo District has a unique natural landscape and is stated as an Environmental Strategic Area in the form of Raden Soerjo Forest Park, which is frequently hit by drought, wildfire, and climate change. This study aims to identify those disasters that threaten natural tourism, see how far the gap with ideal conditions and formulate adaptation and mitigation strategies. The methods used in this research are spatial analysis to identify the disaster risks and qualitative method by gap analysis to formulate the strategies. The findings show that wildfires in 2019 at R. Soerjo Forest Park had a coverage area of 64.7 hectares. Moreover, 59% of the total area has been identified as a very high-risk index of wildfire and drought. There is also a significant increase in temperature by 0.7oC-1oC. This study shows the large gap between the severity of the disaster and the ideal conditions according to the guidelines. The potential of tourism destinations, as well as the threat of disasters, shows the need for adaptation and mitigation strategies for tourism development which contain three phases, specifically prevention and preparation, response, and recovery.