Air passenger demand forecasting and passenger terminal capacity expansion: A system dynamics framework

Erma Suryani, Shuo Yan Chou*, Chih Hsien Chen

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

157 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper deals with how to develop a model to forecast air passenger demand and to evaluate some policy scenarios related with runway and passenger terminal capacity expansion to meet the future demand. System dynamics frameworks can be used to model, to analyze and to generate scenario to increase the system performance because of its capability of representing physical and information flows, based on information feedback control that are continuously converted into decisions and actions. We found that airfare impact, level of service impact, GDP, population, number of flights per day and dwell time play an important roles in determining the air passenger volume, runway utilization and total additional area needed for passenger terminal capacity expansion.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2324-2339
Number of pages16
JournalExpert Systems with Applications
Volume37
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 15 Mar 2010
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Capacity expansion
  • Demand forecasting
  • Scenario
  • Simulation
  • System dynamics

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Air passenger demand forecasting and passenger terminal capacity expansion: A system dynamics framework'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this