TY - JOUR
T1 - Artificial neural network forecasting performance with missing value imputations
AU - Rahman, Nur Haizum Abd
AU - Lee, Muhammad Hisyam
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2020, Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science. All rights reserved.
PY - 2020
Y1 - 2020
N2 - This paper presents time series forecasting method in order to achieve high accuracy performance. In this study, the modern time series approach with the presence of missing values problem is developed. The artificial neural networks (ANNs) is used to forecast the future values with the missing value imputations methods used known as average, normal ratio and also the modified method. The results are validated by using mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The result shown that by considering the right method in missing values problems can improved artificial neural network forecast accuracy. It is proven in both MAE and RMSE measurements as forecast improved from 8.75 to 4.56 and from 10.57 to 5.85 respectively. Thus, this study suggests by understanding the problem in time series data can produce accurate forecast and the correct decision making can be produced.
AB - This paper presents time series forecasting method in order to achieve high accuracy performance. In this study, the modern time series approach with the presence of missing values problem is developed. The artificial neural networks (ANNs) is used to forecast the future values with the missing value imputations methods used known as average, normal ratio and also the modified method. The results are validated by using mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The result shown that by considering the right method in missing values problems can improved artificial neural network forecast accuracy. It is proven in both MAE and RMSE measurements as forecast improved from 8.75 to 4.56 and from 10.57 to 5.85 respectively. Thus, this study suggests by understanding the problem in time series data can produce accurate forecast and the correct decision making can be produced.
KW - Air pollutant index Error
KW - Artificial neural network
KW - Forecating
KW - Imputations
KW - Measurements
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85081038806&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.11591/ijai.v9.i1.pp33-39
DO - 10.11591/ijai.v9.i1.pp33-39
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85081038806
SN - 2089-4872
VL - 9
SP - 33
EP - 39
JO - IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence
JF - IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence
IS - 1
ER -