Abstract

Electrical energy is one important factor in the development of every nation, including Indonesia. Electrical energy has an important role in the development of both the economic and social aspects. Remember so large and important energy benefits of electricity while the power generation energy sources, especially those from non renewable resource limited presence, and to ensure the sustainability of energy sources is necessary pursued strategic steps to support the provision of electrical energy in an optimal and affordable. This paper explores how dynamic modeling can help generate future scenarios of electricity consumption. This modeling study the structure of complex systems and to test different scenarios. This paper have 3 Scenario such as, normal condition, optimistic condition(growth increase 0.5% per month), and pessimist condition(growth decrease 0.5% per month). Also a large number of variables, which affect the behavior could be considered. Power producers, suppliers and distributors requires knowledge of the total consumption to support their business, such as investment decisions of new substations. Modeling and simulation of the results obtained to analyze the electrical energy demand Social and Public sector based on current conditions and forecast electricity demand in the field of Social and Public in the future and how the availability of electricity in the future.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of 2016 International Conference on Information and Communication Technology and Systems, ICTS 2016
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages26-33
Number of pages8
ISBN (Electronic)9781509013791
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 24 Apr 2017
Event2016 International Conference on Information and Communication Technology and Systems, ICTS 2016 - Surabaya, Indonesia
Duration: 12 Oct 2016 → …

Publication series

NameProceedings of 2016 International Conference on Information and Communication Technology and Systems, ICTS 2016

Conference

Conference2016 International Conference on Information and Communication Technology and Systems, ICTS 2016
Country/TerritoryIndonesia
CitySurabaya
Period12/10/16 → …

Keywords

  • Dynamic Simulation
  • Econometrics
  • Energy
  • Social and Public

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