Identification of environmental conditions based on the carrying capacity and holding capacity analysis (case study: Kecamatan Barat, Magetan)

A rapid increase in population and unsustainable land use changes that are not following its capability are likely to lead to severe urban problems. An analysis of the carrying capacity and holding capacity of the environment is needed to determine whether lands can sustain the increasing population. The present research aims to identify the environmental conditions of the Kecamatan Barat based on the carrying capacity and holding capacity of land, water, and demography. Further, an overlay analysis is used to understand the overall carrying capacity level of the sub-district. Qualitative descriptive analysis is used to elaborate the study results. Two villages have deficits in the carrying capacity and capacity of land in West District in 2020, including Purwodadi and Tebon. Six villages are experiencing a water deficit in 2020, including Purwodadi, Karangsono, Bogorejo, Tebon, Manjung, and Mangge. All villages in Kecamatan Barat are still able to accommodate the projected population increase until 2042. The overlay of land, water, and demographic carrying capacity and water holding capacity shows 8, 4, and 2 villages with very high, high, and low overall carrying capacity values.