TY - GEN
T1 - Implementation of recurrent neural network and boosting method for time-series forecasting
AU - Soelaiman, Rully
AU - Martoyo, Arief
AU - Purwananto, Yudhi
AU - Purnomo, Mauridhi H.
PY - 2009
Y1 - 2009
N2 - Ensemble methods used for classification and regression have been shown that they are superior than other methods, teoritically and empirically. Adapting this method on time-series prediction is done by using boosting algorithm. On boosting algorithm, recurrent neural networks (RNN) are generated, each for training on a different set of examples on time-series data, then the results for each of this base learners will be combined and resulting on a final hypothesis.The difference between our algorithm and the original algorithm is the introduction of a new parameter for tuning the boosting influence on given examples. Our boosting result is then tested on real time-series forecasting, using a natural dataset and function-generated time series. On the experiment result, it can be proved that ensemble method that we used is better than standard method, backpropagation through time for one step ahead time series prediction.
AB - Ensemble methods used for classification and regression have been shown that they are superior than other methods, teoritically and empirically. Adapting this method on time-series prediction is done by using boosting algorithm. On boosting algorithm, recurrent neural networks (RNN) are generated, each for training on a different set of examples on time-series data, then the results for each of this base learners will be combined and resulting on a final hypothesis.The difference between our algorithm and the original algorithm is the introduction of a new parameter for tuning the boosting influence on given examples. Our boosting result is then tested on real time-series forecasting, using a natural dataset and function-generated time series. On the experiment result, it can be proved that ensemble method that we used is better than standard method, backpropagation through time for one step ahead time series prediction.
KW - Boosting
KW - L1earning algorithm
KW - Recurrent neural networks
KW - Time series forecasting
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=77950945961&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1109/ICICI-BME.2009.5417296
DO - 10.1109/ICICI-BME.2009.5417296
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:77950945961
SN - 9781424449996
T3 - International Conference on Instrumentation, Communication, Information Technology, and Biomedical Engineering 2009, ICICI-BME 2009
BT - International Conference on Instrumentation, Communication, Information Technology, and Biomedical Engineering 2009, ICICI-BME 2009
T2 - International Conference on Instrumentation, Communication, Information Technology, and Biomedical Engineering 2009, ICICI-BME 2009
Y2 - 23 November 2009 through 25 November 2009
ER -