Indonesian Stock Price Prediction Using Random Effect Model with Technical Indicators in Panel Data

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

In the investment journey of a stock investor, the most critical factor influencing the growth of investor assets is stock selection. In investing, investors may lose money if they choose the wrong stocks. Stock Price Prediction Research on panel data based on Technical Indicators on the Stock Exchange of Indonesia aims to enhance stock price prediction results. Hence, everything runs smoothly in stock selection. This study develops a Random Effect Model (REM) statistical method combined with technical indicator data to enhance stock price prediction results and compare them with Predicted outcomes achieved by machine learning techniques. This study improves the prediction results for every model by including technical indicator data management in the prediction process. The results of this study indicate that the REM model is a superior model with an evaluation value of R2 0.958, MAE 139.152, and MSE 218962.893. In the 2nd experiment, technical indicator data management successfully increased the Prediction results by R2 by 0.361, MAE by 308.172, and MSE by 1864456.653.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2024 Beyond Technology Summit on Informatics International Conference, BTS-I2C 2024
EditorsFerry Wahyu Wibowo
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages89-94
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9798331508579
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024
Event2024 Beyond Technology Summit on Informatics International Conference, BTS-I2C 2024 - Jember, Indonesia
Duration: 19 Dec 2024 → …

Publication series

Name2024 Beyond Technology Summit on Informatics International Conference, BTS-I2C 2024

Conference

Conference2024 Beyond Technology Summit on Informatics International Conference, BTS-I2C 2024
Country/TerritoryIndonesia
CityJember
Period19/12/24 → …

Keywords

  • CatBoost
  • Indonesian Stock Price Prediction
  • LightGBM
  • Machine Learning
  • Panel Data
  • Random Effect Model
  • Technical Indicators
  • XGBoost

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