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K-Means Algorithm with Aftershock Validation for Earthquake Clustering in North Maluku

  • Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

Abstract

North Maluku has several tectonic earthquake sources, which cause high seismic activity, so understanding earthquake clustering patterns is very important for seismic risk and hazard assessment. Validate the clustering by comparing the resulting clusters with the distribution of aftershocks concentrated around the main earthquake source. The cluster will be better if the cluster found matches the aftershock pattern. This research focused on the application of K-Means algorithm, which is an unsupervised machine learning clustering technique, to analyze the spatial patterns of earthquakes in North Maluku based on 8549 earthquake data in the time frame of 2019-2024. The clustering result were compared using 538 aftershock sequence data from three major earthquakes that occurred in the region. K-Means algorithm processes data to be closely related to the centroid when grouping data into k clusters, the value of k is determined using elbow method and cluster quality metrics index optimization. K-Means clustering successfully identified 4 earthquake clusters, with quality metrics of Silhouette Coefficient 0.28, Calinski-Harabasz Index 4458.84, Davies-Bouldin Index 1.16. Validation with aftershock data shows that 9 8 % to 1 0 0% of aftershocks are in one of the seismic zone clusters.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)492-498
Number of pages7
JournalIEEE Asia-Pacific Conference on Geoscience, Electronics and Remote Sensing Technology, AGERS
Issue number2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2025
Event2025 IEEE Asia-Pacific Conference on Geoscience, Electronics and Remote Sensing Technology, AGERS 2025 - Hybrid, Purwokerto, Indonesia
Duration: 17 Dec 202518 Dec 2025

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
    SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy

Keywords

  • aftershock validation
  • earthquake clustering
  • k-means
  • machine learning

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