Modeling dengue cases using poisson INAR

Wiwiek Setya Winahju, Adatul Mukarromah*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

5 Citations (Scopus)


Dengue fever is transmitted by Aedes Aegypti mosquitoes. This disease is found mostly in Southeast Asia including Indonesia. Surabaya city is located in the East of Java Island Indonesia with tropical climate. This city is the second largest metropolitan area in Indonesia, so many dengue fever in this area. Several researcher has done the analysis of the factors (including climate factor) influenced dengue cases. Usually, they used Poisson Regression. This paper will discuses the modeling dengue cases with involves climate factor and the number of dengue cases in time lag one or two months in Surabaya. The modeling process employs Poisson INAR (1) and INAR (2). The conclusion is the climate factor that influenced dengue cases is Rainfall Intensity.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)837-847
Number of pages11
JournalProcedia Engineering
Publication statusPublished - 2012
Event2012 International Conference on Advances Science and Contemporary Engineering, ICASCE 2012 - Jakarta, Indonesia
Duration: 24 Oct 201225 Oct 2012


  • Climate factor
  • Dengue
  • Poisson INAR


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