TY - JOUR
T1 - Stability Analysis on the Spread of the Ebola Virus Considering Changes in Human Behavior and Climate (Case Study: Democratic Republic of the Congo)
AU - Sitti Rosnafian, S.
AU - Mardlijah,
AU - Hariyanto,
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.
PY - 2019/11/22
Y1 - 2019/11/22
N2 - In this paper construction of the SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovery) type mathematical model consider account the influence of changes in human behavior and climate in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DR Congo) in the form of differential equations to describe the spread of the Ebola virus. The relationship between climate and behavior change is represented in the form of parameters (μ). The constructed system is then validated with existence and uniqueness. Furthermore, an analysis of the spread of the virus was carried out with stability analysis. Based on the results of stability analysis, the system around the endemic equilibrium point is unstable. In the final stage a simulation was carried out to obtain a visual picture of the spread of the Ebola virus in DR Congo.
AB - In this paper construction of the SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovery) type mathematical model consider account the influence of changes in human behavior and climate in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DR Congo) in the form of differential equations to describe the spread of the Ebola virus. The relationship between climate and behavior change is represented in the form of parameters (μ). The constructed system is then validated with existence and uniqueness. Furthermore, an analysis of the spread of the virus was carried out with stability analysis. Based on the results of stability analysis, the system around the endemic equilibrium point is unstable. In the final stage a simulation was carried out to obtain a visual picture of the spread of the Ebola virus in DR Congo.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85077095012&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1088/1742-6596/1373/1/012043
DO - 10.1088/1742-6596/1373/1/012043
M3 - Conference article
AN - SCOPUS:85077095012
SN - 1742-6588
VL - 1373
JO - Journal of Physics: Conference Series
JF - Journal of Physics: Conference Series
IS - 1
M1 - 012043
T2 - 2019 Conference on Fundamental and Applied Science for Advanced Technology, ConFAST 2019
Y2 - 21 January 2019 through 22 January 2019
ER -
