TY - JOUR
T1 - Stock price prediction using geometric Brownian motion
AU - Farida Agustini, W.
AU - Affianti, Ika Restu
AU - Putri, Endah R.M.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.
PY - 2018/3/22
Y1 - 2018/3/22
N2 - Geometric Brownian motion is a mathematical model for predicting the future price of stock. The phase that done before stock price prediction is determine stock expected price formulation and determine the confidence level of 95%. On stock price prediction using geometric Brownian Motion model, the algorithm starts from calculating the value of return, followed by estimating value of volatility and drift, obtain the stock price forecast, calculating the forecast MAPE, calculating the stock expected price and calculating the confidence level of 95%. Based on the research, the output analysis shows that geometric Brownian motion model is the prediction technique with high rate of accuracy. It is proven with forecast MAPE value ≤ 20%.
AB - Geometric Brownian motion is a mathematical model for predicting the future price of stock. The phase that done before stock price prediction is determine stock expected price formulation and determine the confidence level of 95%. On stock price prediction using geometric Brownian Motion model, the algorithm starts from calculating the value of return, followed by estimating value of volatility and drift, obtain the stock price forecast, calculating the forecast MAPE, calculating the stock expected price and calculating the confidence level of 95%. Based on the research, the output analysis shows that geometric Brownian motion model is the prediction technique with high rate of accuracy. It is proven with forecast MAPE value ≤ 20%.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85045764991&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1088/1742-6596/974/1/012047
DO - 10.1088/1742-6596/974/1/012047
M3 - Conference article
AN - SCOPUS:85045764991
SN - 1742-6588
VL - 974
JO - Journal of Physics: Conference Series
JF - Journal of Physics: Conference Series
IS - 1
M1 - 012047
T2 - 3rd International Conference on Mathematics: Pure, Applied and Computation, ICoMPAC 2017
Y2 - 1 November 2017 through 1 November 2017
ER -