Abstract
Geometric Brownian motion is a mathematical model for predicting the future price of stock. The phase that done before stock price prediction is determine stock expected price formulation and determine the confidence level of 95%. On stock price prediction using geometric Brownian Motion model, the algorithm starts from calculating the value of return, followed by estimating value of volatility and drift, obtain the stock price forecast, calculating the forecast MAPE, calculating the stock expected price and calculating the confidence level of 95%. Based on the research, the output analysis shows that geometric Brownian motion model is the prediction technique with high rate of accuracy. It is proven with forecast MAPE value ≤ 20%.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 012047 |
| Journal | Journal of Physics: Conference Series |
| Volume | 974 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 22 Mar 2018 |
| Event | 3rd International Conference on Mathematics: Pure, Applied and Computation, ICoMPAC 2017 - Surabaya, Indonesia Duration: 1 Nov 2017 → 1 Nov 2017 |
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