The application of model predictive control on stock portfolio optimization without loan

Wawan Hafid Syaifudin*, Endah R.M. Putri

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

A stock portfolio is a collection of assets owned by investors, such as companies or individuals. The determination of the optimal stock portfolio is an important issue for the investors. Management of investors' capital in portfolio investment can be regarded as a dynamic optimal control problem. In this research, we propose Model Predictive Control (MPC) as a management strategy to solve the portfolio optimization problem. A basic explanation of the control theory and its application to the management problem is described. The management strategy of this research considers: constraints of the portfolio assets and the cost of transactions. Subsequently, a practical application of the solution is implemented on 3 company's stocks. The simulation results show that the performance of proposed controller satisfies the state and control constraints. The amount of capital owned by the investor as the output of system shows a significant increase.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 8th SEAMS-UGM International Conference on Mathematics and Its Applications 2019
Subtitle of host publicationDeepening Mathematical Concepts for Wider Application through Multidisciplinary Research and Industries Collaborations
EditorsHerni Utami, Fajar Adi Kusumo, Nanang Susyanto, Yeni Susanti
PublisherAmerican Institute of Physics Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9780735419438
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 19 Dec 2019
Event8th SEAMS-UGM International Conference on Mathematics and Its Applications 2019: Deepening Mathematical Concepts for Wider Application through Multidisciplinary Research and Industries Collaborations - Yogyakarta, Indonesia
Duration: 29 Jul 20191 Aug 2019

Publication series

NameAIP Conference Proceedings
Volume2192
ISSN (Print)0094-243X
ISSN (Electronic)1551-7616

Conference

Conference8th SEAMS-UGM International Conference on Mathematics and Its Applications 2019: Deepening Mathematical Concepts for Wider Application through Multidisciplinary Research and Industries Collaborations
Country/TerritoryIndonesia
CityYogyakarta
Period29/07/191/08/19

Keywords

  • Model Predictive Control (MPC)
  • Portfolio Management
  • Stock Portfolio Optimization

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