The Influence of Global Climate Change on Rainfall Intensity and Slope Stability in Tulakan Village, Pacitan

Putu Tantri K. Sari*, Indrasurya B. Mochtar

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

This study aimed to determine the influence of climate change on rain pattern variation for 45 years and slope stability in Pacitan, East Java, Indonesia. İt analyzed the decrease in slope safety factor with variations in rainfall and soil hydraulic conductivity. The analysis used a FEM and LEM coupled method that facilitated the soil hydrological conditions and slope stability. The results showed that the largest increase in rainfall intensity cumulative in 45 years is 8.8%, with a monthly maximum duration of 0.75%. This condition is believed to occur due to global climate change. One day of rain with an intensity of 302 mm could reduce the safety factor by 1%. Furthermore, rain accumulated for one month decreases the safety factor by 2.8–4%, while three months of accumulation causes a 5.5% reduction.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 6th International Conference on Indonesian Architecture and Planning (ICIAP 2022) - Beyond Sustainability Through Design, Planning and Innovation
EditorsDeva Fosterharoldas Swasto, Dwita Hadi Rahmi, Yani Rahmawati, Isti Hidayati, Jimly Al-Faraby, Alyas Widita
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages469-478
Number of pages10
ISBN (Print)9789819914029
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023
Event6th International Conference on Indonesian Architecture and Planning, ICIAP 2022 - Yogyakarta, Indonesia
Duration: 13 Oct 202214 Oct 2022

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Civil Engineering
Volume334 LNCE
ISSN (Print)2366-2557
ISSN (Electronic)2366-2565

Conference

Conference6th International Conference on Indonesian Architecture and Planning, ICIAP 2022
Country/TerritoryIndonesia
CityYogyakarta
Period13/10/2214/10/22

Keywords

  • Climate change
  • Landslide
  • Mitigation
  • Natural slope
  • Rainfall intensity

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