Time series forecasting using singular spectrum analysis, fuzzy systems and neural networks

Winita Sulandari*, S. Subanar, Muhammad Hisyam Lee, Paulo Canas Rodrigues

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

23 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Hybrid methodologies have become popular in many fields of research as they allow researchers to explore various methods, understand their strengths and weaknesses and combine them into new frameworks. Thus, the combination of different methods into a hybrid methodology allows to overcome the shortcomings of each singular method. This paper presents the methodology for two hybrid methods that can be used for time series forecasting. The first combines singular spectrum analysis with linear recurrent formula (SSA-LRF) and neural networks (NN), while the second combines the SSA-LRF and weighted fuzzy time series (WFTS). Some of the highlights of these proposed methodologies are: • The two hybrid methods proposed here are applicable to load data series and other time series data. • The two hybrid methods handle the deterministic and the nonlinear stochastic pattern in the data. • The two hybrid methods show a significant improvement to the single methods used separately and to other hybrid methods.

Original languageEnglish
Article number101015
JournalMethodsX
Volume7
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2020
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Deterministic model
  • Hybrid methodology
  • Nonlinear stochastic model
  • SSA-LRF-NN and SSA-LRF-WFTS
  • Weighted fuzzy time series

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